PRIME MARGIN LABSSPORTS INTELLIGENCE Free brief

FBS · EDITORIAL LEAN

Houston at Colorado

Houston 7–2 · Colorado 3–6

Kickoff Nov. 13, 2026 at 10:15 PM ET

RESEARCH

Houston −7.5 (−110)

Full-game spread · DraftKings via Betwatch

Quote as of Nov. 13, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET
Publication timestamp Nov. 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

Break-even52.38%
No-vig market50.00%
PML probabilityUnavailable

Uncertainty: Unavailable. Estimated edge: Unavailable.

Weigman had 22 passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Colorado allowed 21 passing touchdowns and five rushing touchdowns. SP+ projected Houston by 16.8 and PRIME by 7.3.

Featured player: Conner Weigman

Matchup evidence

  • 22:2Weigman passing TDs to interceptions through nine games
  • 21Passing touchdowns allowed by Colorado through nine games
  • 5Rushing touchdowns allowed by Colorado through nine games

DraftKings spread timeline

  1. −10.5 (−110)Reported opener. Exact time unavailable.
  2. −7.5 (−110)4:30 p.m. ET, Nov. 13, 2026. Original observed quote.
  3. −7.5 (−110)7:48 p.m. ET, Nov. 13, 2026. Later snapshot.

A win by eight, nine or ten covers −7.5 and loses at −10.5. We kept the call at research lean with no investment authorization. The outside projections disagree around the quoted spread, and a comparable closing quote is unavailable in this record.

Result and audit

Lost. Colorado 42, Houston 32.

Original publication · Houston Athletics · Colorado Athletics · Betwatch quote · Projection comparison · Official game source

Preview PML member research

PML Houston at Colorado market card. DraftKings reportedly opened Houston −10.5 at −110. Betwatch showed Houston −7.5 at −110 at 4:30 and 7:48 p.m. ET on Nov. 13. Break-even was 52.38%. Research lean with no investment authorization.
Download market intelligence card · Original published forecast card

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